Source: Compiled from data by DGCI&S and Quick Estimates published by the Government of India.
After registering a marginal growth in the month of December 2025, India’s engineering exports recorded double-digit year-on-year (y-o-y) growth for the second month in a row to February 2026 and the overall growth-run is continued for the fourth straight month. The performance is quite impressive as engineering shipment from India was above USD 10 billion in the last four months despite of geo-political conflicts and economic slowdown in several regions of the world. During February 2026, India’s engineering exports achieved 12.9 percent y-o-y growth as it went up to USD 10.36 billion from USD 9.17 billion in February 2025. On a cumulative basis, engineering exports recorded a 5.25 percent growth in April-February 2025-26 when it surged to USD 111.49 billion from USD 105.94 billion during the same period last fiscal.After a record breaking figure in 2024-25, engineering exports from India is probably going to see another all-time high export figure in 2025-26. As per the quick estimates of the government, the share of engineering in total merchandise exports was recorded at 28.3 percent in February 2026 as against 28.5 percent in January 2026. The share was recorded at 27.7 percent on a cumulative basis during April – February 2025-26. The growth in engineering exports during the first eleven months of the current fiscal has mainly been driven by significant growth in exports of Metal and metal products, Machineries and Automotive. Among metals, Copper and products recorded a growth of 52.53 percent, Iron and steel recorded a growth of 11.54 percent, and aluminium and products recorded a growth of 2.61 percent. Industrial machinery registered a growth of 10.47 percent, and electrical machinery registered a growth of 7.9 percent.Within automotive, Motor vehicles and cars registered a growth of 24.72 percent. Region-wise analysis showed that North America continued to account for the largest share of Indian engineering exports with 20 percent share followed by EU at 18 percent, WANA at 15 percent, and ASEAN at 11 percent. During April-February 2026, exports to all regions recorded positive growth except WANA, Other Europe and CIS.
Source: DGCI&S, Govt. of India
The monthly engineering export figures for 2025‑26 vis‑à‑vis 2024‑25 are shown below as per the latest DGCI&S estimates:
We now look at the export scenario of the top 25 nations that had highest demand for Indian engineering products during February 2026 over February 2025 as well as in cumulative terms during April‑February 2025‑26 vis‑à‑vis April‑ February 2024‑25. The data clearly shows that top 25 countries contribute more than 74% of total engineering exports.
Source: DGCI&S
The following table depicts region wise India’s engineering exports for April‑February 2026 as compared to April‑February 2025
Table 3: Region wise engineering exports in April-February 2025-26 vis-à-vis April-February 2024-25 (Values in US$ Million)
Source: DGCI&S
Note: Myanmar has been included in ASEAN and not in South Asia, since ASEAN is a formal economic grouping.
Figure 1: Region-wise shares of India’s engineering exports during April-February 2025-26
Source: DGCI&S
The following table depicts region wise India’s panel wise engineering exports for April‑February 2026 as compared to April‑February 2025
India’s engineering exports grew by about 5.25% in April–February 2025‑26 to around US$111.5 billion, with mixed performance across panels:
I. Exports of iron and steel rose by 11.5% during April–February 2025 26, supported by higher shipments of primary steel, while products of iron and steel grew at a slower 5%. Overall, India’s steel exports rose 8% to US$18.96 billion during April–February 2025 26, supported by strong demand from the USA, UAE, EU markets (Italy, UK, Belgium, Germany, Netherland, Spain), Nepal and select WANA desti‑ nations (Saudi Arabia, Oman), Turkey from other Europe, etc.
As reflected in the Ministry of steel figures, India’s crude steel production rose sharply by 11.2% year on year during April‑Feb 2025‑26, supported by a 10.4% increase in finished steel pro‑ duction as well as 7.2% increase in finished steel consumption. Therefore consumption grew at a slower pace due todisrupted construction and infrastructure activity—the country’s largest steel consuming segments. The growth figures highlights In‑ dia’s resilience and continued strength in steel production de‑ spite global fluctuations.
b. The non‑ferrous metals pan‑ el emerged as a major growth driver, with exports rising by 17.4% to US$12.67 billion during April–February 2025 26. Among which,
i. Aluminium and aluminium products witnessed a growth of 3% to US$6.36 billion in April‑Feb 2026 from US$6.2 billion during April‑Feb 2025. Export performance was supported by stronger ship‑ ments to USA, Korea Rp, Viet‑ nam, China, Japan, Italy and Malaysia although declines were observed in markets such as Korea (Rep.), Mex‑ ico, Netherland and Turkey. On the pricing front, BigMint data indicates that domes‑ tic aluminium prices in India firmed up week‑on‑week, reflecting the rise in LME and MCX aluminium futures amid ongoing global supply concerns.Aluminium P1020 prices in India are expected to remain muted in the near term due to steady demand, moderated premiums, while global premium negotiations and easing LME volatility may continue to influence market sentiment.
ii. Copper and copper prod‑ ucts registered a robust 53% increase, rising to US$ 3.22 billion from US$ 2.11 billion. Export growth was sup‑ ported by strong demand from Saudi Arabia, China, USA, Korea (Rep.), the UAE, key EU markets,Malaysia and Nepal, although de‑ cline observed in Malaysia.
On the pricing front, BigMint data shows that India’s cop‑ per scrap imports fell 27% m‑o‑m in February 2026 from January 2026, mark‑ ing the lowest level in nearly a year. The decline could be attributed to holiday‑related slowdowns in major supply‑ ing countries, which tempo‑ rarily constrained shipments to India.Notably, with scrap availability tightening, Indian buyers shifted towards sourc‑ ing refined copper cathodes, resulting in a sharp increase in imports. India’s copper cathode imports doubled in February compared to that of January. Shipments from China surged, marking an in‑ crease of over 2,500%, mak‑ ing the country the largest supplier of cathodes to India this month. The surge was driven by competitive pric‑ ing from Chinese smelters amid ample domestic refined copper availability.End‑user demand is set to improve‑ from April, which could lift procurement of copper prod‑ ucts despite elevated freight and insurance costs. How‑ ever,if logistics costs remain high, Indian buyers maypre‑ fer sourcing copper cathodes if they are competitively priced.
iii. Lead and lead products rose significantly to US$1.16billion (+39%), while tin products expanded to US$43 million (+120%), albeit on a low base.
c. Exports of industrial machinery increased by 11% to US$20.15 bil‑ lion during April–February 2025 26, driven by strong demand for Industrial Machinery like Boilers, Air‑condition and Refrigeration machinery, Machine tools, re‑ flecting rising global investment in automation and manufactur‑ ing. However, exports of IC engines and parts grew only moderately.
d. Exports of electrical machinery grew by 8% to US$14.03 billion, supported by demand for pow‑ er equipment, switchgear, and transmission‑related products.
e. The automobile sector recorded robust growth of 15.4%, with ex‑ ports reaching US$24.44 billion, led by South Africa, Mexico,‑ Saudi Arabia, UAE, Japan, Bra‑ zil, Germany and Colombia and, reflecting sustained demand for vehicles and components. In South Asia, a strong rebound in Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Nepal boosted exports. However, ship‑ ments to USA, Turkey and Indo‑ nesia decelerated
f. Exports of other engineering products rose by 11% to US$14.29 billion, supported by strong growth in office equipment, railway transport equipment, construction machinery, bicycle parts. In contrast, medical and scientific instruments witnessed a decline of 1% during April‑Feb‑ ruary 2025‑26.
The table below indicates the exports from top Indian states. It is evident from the table that almost 95% of India’s exports is contributed by the listed 12 states. Within this almost more than 60 percent of exports is done by Maha‑ rashtra, Tamil Nadu and Gujarat together during April‑January 2025‑26
Table 5: State Wise Engineering Exports (Value in US$ billion) (Value in US$ million)
Source: DGCIS Portal
Maharashtra leads with 28 billion USD in engineering exports (April‑ Jan 2025‑26), up by10% from 25.5 billion USD, securing a 27% national share through its robust ecosystem in engineering goods. West Bengal recorded marginal 3% growth reaching US$ 3.8 billion, holding a 4% share. Odisha achieved 18% growth to 4.2billion USD (4% share) during April‑January 2025‑26. Karnataka achieved the highest growth of 43% during April‑January2025‑26 reaching US$5.7 billion holding a share of 6%. Delhi contracted 8% to US$5.8 bn (6% share) and Andhra Pradesh fell 14% to US$ 3.7 bn (4% share), while Punjab was flat. Overall, growth remains concentrated in the western–southern hubs.
Source: DGCIS Portal
India’s region‑wise engineering exports (DGCIS) rose approximately 5% to US$102 bn in Apr–Jan 2025 26, led by the Western Region at US$44.9 bn (+14%, 44% share), which more than offset a contraction in the Southern Region to US$31.5 bn (–6%, 30.8% share). The Northern Region inched up marginally by 1% to US$16.5 bn (16.1% share), while the Eastern Region posted steady growth of 9% to US$ 9.2 bn (9% share). Overall, exports remain highly concentrated in the West and South (~75% share), with the West acting as the primary growth engine this period.
Engineering forms a considerable part of the broader manufacturing sector and the share of engineering production in overall manufacturing output is quite significant. As exports generally come from what is produced within a country, some correlation between manufacturing production growth and engineering export growth should exist. We briefly look at the trend in manufacturing growth as also engineering export growth to see if they move in tandem. It may be mentioned that manufacturing has 77.63% weightage in India’s industrial production.
Engineering export growth and manufacturing output growth moved in the same direction in as many as nine out of twelve months in each of the fiscal years 2019-20 and 2020-21. During fiscal 202122, engineering export growth and manufacturing growth moved in the same direction in seven out of twelve monthswhile in each of fiscal 2022-23 and 2023-24, as many as 10 out of 12 months saw engineering exports and manufacturing output moved in the same direction. In 2024-25, both moved in the same direction in eight out of 12 months.
The first two month of fiscal 2025‑ 26 saw engineering export growth and manufacturing output growth moved in the opposite direction. In April, engineering export growth surged to double digit and manufacturing growth decelerated, while in May engineering export declined and manufacturing output growth inched up over the month. Then, In June, July and August 2025 however, both moved on the same direction. In June and July, both witnessed improvement in growth while in Aug 2025, both conceded moderation in growth. In September 2025 however, engineering growth continued to slowdown but manufacturing growth accelerated. Both engineering growth and manufacturing growth moved in the same direction during October to December 2025. October 2025 saw both going down with decline in engineering exports while Novbemebr 2025 witnessed surged in both with substantially higher growth. In December 2025 however, while engineering exports grew, the growth rate slowed down whereas the manufacturing growth rate was maintained. The month of January 2026 however saw scceleration in engineering export growth but moderation in manufacturing output growth.
The link between these two may not be established in one or two months, but a positive correlation may be seen if medium to long term trend is considered.
Table 7: Engineering exports growth vis-à-vis manufacturing growth from April 2024
Source: Department of Commerce and CSO
How did the exchange rate fare during February 2026 and what was the recent trend in Re-Dollar movement? In order to get a clearer picture of the recent Re-Dollar trend, not only we took the exchange rate of February 2026, but also considered monthly average exchange rate of Rupee vis-à-vis the US Dollar for each month of fiscal 2023-24, 2024-25 and fiscal 2025-26 as per the latest data published, as mere one-month figure does not reflect any trend. The following two tables clearly depicts the short-term trend.
Table 8: USD-INR monthly average exchange rate in 2025-26 vis-à-vis 2024-25 (As per latest data released by FBIL)
Indian Rupee continued to remain below 90 per US Dollar but remained stable over the month for the first time after May 2025: The Indian rupee ended February 2026 with a very feeble appreciation over the previous month butdepreciation continued vis-à-vis the US Dollar for the ninth straight month to February 2026. After a downfall to record low, rupee witnessed significant boost over the greenback with the announcement of a bilateral trade deal on February 3, 2026 that included reducing import tariffs of Indian goods to 18 percent from 50 percent. However, War between Iran and US-Israel and subsequent closure of strait of Hormuz strengthened dollar and rupee weakened again towards the end of February 2026.
Table 9: USD-INR monthly average exchange rate in 2024-25 vis-à-vis 2023-24 (As per latest data released by FBIL)
Fig 2: Trend of Rupee vis-a-vis US dollar from April 2021 (Monthly Average Rate of FBIL has been considered)
Fig 3: Monthly Engineering Imports for April-February 2025-26 vis-a-vis April-February 2024-25
We now present the trend in two-way yearly trade for the engineering sector for the 2025-26 depicted in the table below:
Table 10: Monthly Trend in Engineering Trade Balance for the current FY 2025-26 (Values in US$ Billions)
Source: DGCI&S, EEPC India Analysis
Indian engineering exports continued its growth journey in February 2026 as it recorded 13% growth. In cumulative terms, the growth is recorded at 5.2%. This is a silver lining at a time as the global trade faces serious disruptions due to growing geopolitical issues affecting logistics including shipping routes, freight costs and supply chains. The recent conflicts noted in the Hormutz Straits, a very significant maritime route carrying almost a quarter of global seaborne oil trade and significant volumes of liquefied natural gas and fertilizers has been a cause of significant concern for the exporters. Exporters have complained of escalating financial burdens including War-risk surcharges, high insurance premiums, extraordinary levies that escalating freight cost. Apart from that energy prices have skyrocketed and even in many cases exporters have faced critical raw materials shortage. The UNCTAD in a recent statement has specifically mentioned that the impact of the shock corroborate that of the earlier trends including COVID-19 pandemic. Let me also take this opportunity to thank the Government of India who has recently launched the RELIEF Scheme to alleviate the pain faced by exporters due to the West Asia crisis. We are hopeful of the continued government support in future to help in the growth journey of the industry
The War between US-Israel and Iran, started in Feb 2026, have deeply impacted the global trade by disrupting the supply chain as Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz waterway between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman, which is strategically one of the most important passage for global trade, especially for export of Oil & Gas from the middle-east countries to the rest of the world. This critical global maritime chokepoint handles roughly 20% to 25% of the world’s total seaborne oil trade. As of 2025, approximately 20 million barrels of oil and significant volumes of liquefied natural gas (LNG) and fertilizers pass through this waterway daily, making it crucial for global energy supply.
Economic impact on India
Measures adopted by the Government
The Indian government has been quick to realize the concern of the Indian exporters and have adopted a series of quick measures to compensate the exporters and keeping the pace of India’s export intact. Following are some of the steps taken by the government:
Outlook
Despite the crisis in West Asia that causes the most damaging supply chain disruption after the Pandemic, Indian engineering reached its new all-time high at USD 122.4 billion in 2025-26. While exports to directly crisis affected region declined, shipments to other regions expanded reflecting successful diversification strategy by the Indian government. The crisis once again demonstrated India’s inherent strength to wither any external shock and we believe that even if the crisis stays long or worsen, Indian exporting community will be able to shrug it off in the long run with the help of an immensely supportive government.